Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has averaged 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Jamal Murray has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with the home court advantage.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should raise plays for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 26.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road (3rd-least in the NBA).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for shots from the field; their opposition have compiled the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (50.3%).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

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