Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Jamal Murray has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jamal Murray ought to see a spike in production in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray places in the 89th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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