Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 7:39 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with a an outstanding 46.7% rate this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (25th-best in the league) against the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Jamal Murray stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (97th percentile).
In regard to threes, the Nuggets's subpar 11.7 made threes per game ranks 8th-worst in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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