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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 5/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has compiled 6.5 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.

Jamal Murray has averaged 37.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

Jamal Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this year.

The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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