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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 6.6 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.

Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league as the road team with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production across the board.

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