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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has posted 6.2 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.

Jamal Murray has averaged 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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