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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has put up 6.2 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 95th percentile.

Jamal Murray has played 38.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 more than he's played overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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