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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has compiled 7.3 assists per game over the last 15 games while at home, 1.0 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year at home.

Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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