Jamal Cain Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Jamal Cain

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Cain

F · Miami Heat

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Cain Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Cain has successfully made 61.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 16.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year away from his home court.
Jamal Cain has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Clippers).
Jamal Cain has made 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for threes; when the LA Clippers are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least treys per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league on the road with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Cain ought to experience a decrease in performance for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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