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Jalen Wilson

Jalen Wilson Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 1.7 rate, Jalen Wilson's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 4.3 per game.

Jalen Wilson has played a whopping 25.5 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 15.5 minutes per game last season.

With respect to threes, the Brooklyn Nets's remarkable 14.0 made threes per game when playing away from home rates 6th-best in the league this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Nets.

The matchup against Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are on their home court (8th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Wilson has sunk a mere 40.5% of his field goals this season, a sizeable decrease from his 50.8 rate last season.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 0.8 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a hard matchup.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Wilson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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