Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played over the course of the year.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The matchup vs. Houston is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Nets.
Jalen Wilson has made 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

Jalen Wilson has converted a lowly 41.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly lower than his 50.8 mark last year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets rank 8thworst in in the NBA with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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