Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has attempted 5.8 treys per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
The Nets check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Nets are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 23 games (the Heat).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 50.8% clip, Jalen Wilson's shooting effectiveness has decreased this season to 40.7%.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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