Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has made 52.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Jalen Wilson has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Nets check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
The Nets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Pacers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Jalen Wilson has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
The Nets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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