Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has made 72.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while on his home court.
Jalen Wilson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's played overall this year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Nets.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have notched 20.2 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 12 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Brooklyn Nets.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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