Jalen Williams Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+138/-186).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has totaled 1.6 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
Jalen Williams has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (79th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Jalen Williams ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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