Jalen Williams Steals - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Steals

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has averaged 2.0 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 99th percentile.
Jalen Williams has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The 6th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
Jalen Williams should see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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