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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.1 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has totaled a measly 0.4 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 1.1 offensive rebounds per game last season.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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