Jalen Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has totaled 1.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's totaled overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams is expected to suffer a reduction in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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