Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to scoring, the Thunder's terrific 122.3 points per game measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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