Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 6/11/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jun 11, 2025

Updated Jun 12, 2025 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-260/+190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 5th-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jalen Williams has converted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 53.2% clip, Jalen Williams's shooting performance has diminished this season to 47.3%.
Jalen Williams has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 21.0 free throws per game.
Jalen Williams will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production for all stats.

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