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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 5/28/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has converted 8.1 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Williams has sunk 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 126.2 points per game when playing at home rates best in the league over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (40.6%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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