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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 94th percentile for shots from the field made, registering a monstrous 8.1 per game this year.

Jalen Williams has tallied 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 121.4 points per game comes in as the most in the league over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

Jalen Williams has made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA at home with only 10.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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