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Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jalen Williams has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.7 minutes per game this year.The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 2nd-best in in the league away from their home court with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.Jalen Williams has converted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jalen Williams has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup.The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 21.0 free throws per game.The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
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