Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 13, 2025

Updated May 14, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 94th percentile for shots converted while on his home court, averaging a massive 8.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.
In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Jalen Williams has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has shot and missed 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's missed in all games this season while at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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