My Account Log Out

reorder

Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has scored 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year on the road.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams lands in the 79th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 5.0 per game this year.

Jalen Williams has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.9 free throws per game.

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to draw fouls.

Jalen Williams ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

More Jalen Williams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™