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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has successfully made 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jalen Williams has averaged 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the free-throw line: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.9 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

Jalen Williams is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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