Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 5, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has made 10.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the league this year (1.1).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.
As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the league this year with a lowly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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