Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 26, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has compiled 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 7.9 more than he's compiled overall this year on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams places in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 15.8 points per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (82nd percentile).
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 5th-worst in the league this year with just 20.4 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the league).
Jalen Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production across the board.

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