Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 14.2 mark, Jalen Williams's shots have increased this season to 17.0 per game.
Jalen Williams has averaged 32.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Thunder are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 9th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).
As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 4th-worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 20.2 foul shots per game.
Over the last 12 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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