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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has attempted 17.1 shots from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 14.2 mark last season.

Jalen Williams has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 32.9 minutes per game at home this year.

The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.0 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

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