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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has attempted 17.1 field goals per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 14.2 rate last season.

Jalen Williams has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jalen Williams has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a hard matchup.

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.9 foul shots per game.

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