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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Jalen Williams has played 32.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Spurs have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.

The Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has sunk a measly 47.6% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly less than his 53.2 mark last year.

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).

The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one; when the Spurs are on their home court, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).

The Thunder have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 19.9 free throws per game.

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