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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.8 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup.

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has sunk a lowly 47.8% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 53.2 mark last year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Jalen Williams will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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