Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
Jalen Williams has attempted 4.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.7 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's subpar 19.7 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
Jalen Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production across the board.