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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 93rd percentile for field goal attempts, averaging 16.8 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams slots into the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled 0.8 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

The Thunder check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Williams should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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