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Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-139/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -139.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jalen Williams has converted 9.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home.In contrast to last year's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's three-point proficiency has spiked this year to 42.6%.Jalen Williams has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.The Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.Jalen Williams should experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this contest.
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