Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has sunk 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Jalen Williams has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.9 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).