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Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-102/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -102.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jalen Williams has successfully made 6.8 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.Jalen Williams has made 63.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home.Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.When it comes to offense, the Thunder's superb 127.2 points per game while on their home court ranks 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jalen Williams has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (87th percentile).This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive production.The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Nets).The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Nets (saving possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense).
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