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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Thunder check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.7).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

In contrast to last season's 1.8 rate, Jalen Williams's foul shots hit have risen this season to 4.3 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has attempted and missed 7.4 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 5.2 rate last year.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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