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Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In comparison to last year's 52.8% clip, Jalen Williams's scoring proficiency has jumped this year to 56.6%.Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.7 minutes per game this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Lakers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.9).The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jalen Williams has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).This year, opposing squads have snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the foul line.
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