Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has posted 20.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
Jalen Williams has averaged 29.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a good one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
On their home court, the Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.