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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has converted 39.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 9.7% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams has converted 86.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 11.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile).

The matchup against Jerami Grant is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 3.2 three-pointers per game (3rd percentile).

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home, averaging a measly 18.0 free throws per game.

Jalen Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.

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