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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2023

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has made 6.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jalen Williams has sunk 53.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 23.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.

The Rockets have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).

When playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for threes; opposing starting PFs have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.5%).

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