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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has sunk 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to field goals.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year [ON_THE_ROAD_TEAM].

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has attempted and missed 0.8 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.4 more than he's missed over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Jalen Williams has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (81st percentile).

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; on their home court, opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate [IN_THE_LEAGUE] this year (38.1%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season while playing on the road.

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.

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