Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+138/-186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has sunk 59.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 14.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.1 minutes per game this year.
In terms of treys, the Thunder's remarkable 39.4% rate of sunk threes settles in as the best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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