Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-238).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -238.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
As it relates to threes, the Thunder's remarkable 39.8% rate of drained threes places highest in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 23.3% on threes (13th-weakest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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