Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+149/-196).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has successfully made 47.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 13.6% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Jalen Williams has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 79th percentile.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Pelicans have the home court advantage (5.4).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.
Jalen Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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