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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Assists
Player Prop - 5/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has totaled 5.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent games: 93rd percentile.

Jalen Williams has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (79th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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