Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 9, 2025

Updated May 10, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has tallied 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch: 93rd percentile.
Jalen Williams has averaged 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (80th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
Jalen Williams is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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