Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2025

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 7, 2025

Updated May 7, 2025 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has tallied 5.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 91st percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jalen Williams will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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